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Global COVID-19 Estimates December 16, 2022 Release


General Info
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME)
Coverage type 
Time period covered 
02/2020 - 03/2023
Data type

This dataset contains estimates of deaths, vaccine coverage, hospital resource use, daily infections and testing, mask use, and social distancing due to COVID-19 for a number of countries and subnational areas. The projections for cumulative and daily deaths, infections, and social distancing each include three scenarios:

  • The reference scenario is the forecast IHME deems most likely (for more on this scenario, please see the expanded summary in the Data Release Information Sheet under the "Files" tab of this record)
  • The 80% mask use scenario assumes all locations reach 80% mask use within seven days
  • The antiviral access scenario assumes globally distributed antivirals

The model that produced these estimates incorporated data on observed COVID-19 deaths, hospitalizations, and cases, protective measures, mobility, and other factors.