Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 (GBD 2016) Mortality

Components of GBD 2016 all-cause mortality and HIV estimation and their relations

• 1. Under-5 mortality estimation
  • 1.1 VR prioritization
  • 1.2 Identify VR underrenumination
  • 1.3 Biennial 5q0 estimates
  • 1.4 SBH to 5q0 time series
  • 1.5 5q0 data synthesis, model, and bias correction
  • 1.6 Identify and remove outliers
  • 1.7 Rake subnational estimates to national level
  • 1.8 Review estimates for quality
  • 1.11 Under-5 age pattern model estimation
  • 1.12 Identify and remove outliers
  • 1.13 Under-5 age-sex splitting
  • 1.14 Update under-5 populations using fatal discontinuities
  • 1.15 Under-5 death number estimation
• 2. Adult mortality estimation
  • 2.1 DDM
  • 2.2 Sibling survival method
  • 2.3 vettedness synthesis
  • 2.4 45q15 data synthesis and model running
  • 2.5 Identify and remove outliers
  • 2.6 Rake subnational estimates to national level
  • 2.7 Review estimates for quality
• 3. Age- and sex-specific all-cause mortality
  • 3.1 Quality review and removal or poor-quality life tables
  • 3.2 Extending age-specific mortality to 100+
  • 3.3 GBD relational model life table
  • 3.4 Rake subnational estimates to national level
• 4. HIV/AIDS estimation
  • 4.4 On- and off-ART mortality estimation
  • 4.5 EPP and Spectrum
  • 4.6 HIV/mortality reckoning
• 5. Re-estimating with HIV/AIDS and fatal discontinuities
  • 5.3 Add fatal discontinuities
• 6. Final
  • CodCorrect
  • DALYnator

Fatal Discontinuities

• Cod data formatting and mapping
• VR de-duplication
• Outlier VR points in CoD db
• Run draws
• Age-sex splitting
• Combine with CODEM models