Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021) - Mortality 1 (Fatal Discontinuities - Mortality Estimation Flowchart)

Fatal Discontinuities

• Cod data formatting and mapping
• VR de-duplication
• Run draws
• Age-sex splitting
• Combine with CODEM models

Mortality Estimation Flowchart

• 0. Vital Registration
  • 1.0 VR Prep
• 1. Under-5 mortality estimation
  • 1.1 VR prioritization
  • 1.1 5q0 Data Prep
  • 1.2 5q0 Model
  • 1.3 Estimated Child Completeness
  • 1.4 Age-Sex Model
  • 1.5 Under-5 Envelope Model
• 2. Adult mortality estimation
  • 2.1 DDM Stage 1 (Empirical deaths and population compilation and formatting
  • 2.2 DDM Methods (GGB, SEG, GGB/SEG, CCMP)
  • 2.3 DDM Synthesis
  • 2.4 Sibling survival method
  • 2.4 45q15 Model
• 3. Age- and sex-specific all-cause mortality
  • 3.1 Empirical Life Table Generation and Prioritization
  • 3.2 HIV scaling
  • 3.3 Model Life Table Process
  • 3.4 Abridged to Full Life Table Conversion
  • 3.5 HIV Adjustment and Reconciliation
  • 3.6 Shocks Addition
  • 3.7 Finalizer: Full Life Table to Abridged, Aggregation
• • Theoretical Minimum Risk Life Table
  • Covid EM Data
  • Covid EM Modelling
  • Age-sex splitting of Covid EM
  • Harmonizer Process