Global Health Data Exchange - Discover the World's Health Data

Global Fertility, Mortality, Migration, and Population Forecasts 2017-2100

Nav

General Info
Provider 
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME)
Geography 
Coverage type 
Global
Time period covered 
01/2017 - 12/2100
Data type
Summary 

IHME researchers forecasted population from 2018 to 2100 for 195 countries and territories. They produced these using estimates from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2017 and and forecasts for fertility, migration, and mortality rates. This dataset includes the following: past estimates for population and deaths; forecasts for population, deaths, life expectancy, live births, total fertility rate (TFR), and migration; and annual life tables for 2018-2100. The projections for population, deaths, life expectancy, live births, total fertility rate (TFR) each include a reference scenario as well as four alternative scenarios that reflect faster or slower trajectories for two key drivers of fertility rates: education of females and access to modern reproductive health services, measured using contraceptive met need.

Click here to access the life tables.

Citation
Publication year 
2020
Suggested citation 
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). Global Fertility, Mortality, Migration, and Population Forecasts 2017-2100. Seattle, United States of America: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), 2020.