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Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021) HIV Lifetime Probability of Acquisition and Prevalence of Unsuppressed Viraemia Estimates and Forecasts 1990-2050

General Info

Provider 
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME)
Geography 
Global
Coverage type 
Global
Time period covered 
January, 1990 - December, 2050
Data type
Estimate
Summary 

This dataset contains estimates of the period lifetime probability of HIV acquisition, which quantifies the hypothetical probability of acquiring HIV for a “synthetic cohort”, a simulated population that is aged from birth to death through the set of age-specific incidence rates of a given time period. Using GBD 2021 HIV estimates, the prevalence of unsuppressed viraemia (PUV), which represents the proportion of the population without a suppressed level of HIV (viral load <1000 copies/mL) was also estimated. Forecasts for mortality, prevalence, and incidence through 2050 were also created.

Keywords 
HIV and AIDS, Incidence, Prevalence

Citation

Contributors 
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME)
Funders 
Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (BMGF)
Publisher 
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME)
Publication year 
2024
Suggested citation 
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021) HIV Lifetime Probability of Acquisition and Prevalence of Unsuppressed Viraemia Estimates and Forecasts 1990-2050. Seattle, United States of America: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), 2024.

Files (2)

Public files 
FileSize
Binary Data Data Release Information Sheet227.78 KB
Binary Data GBD 2021 HIV Estimates 1990-2021 [XLSX]591.19 KB

Source URL:https://ghdx.healthdata.org/record/ihme-data/gbd-2021-hiv-acquisition-viraemia-1990-2050