GHDx
Published on GHDx (https://ghdx.healthdata.org)


Africa Viral Hemorrhagic Fever Pandemic Potential Estimates

General Info

Provider 
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME)
Geography 
Algeria (DZA)
Angola (AGO)
Benin (BEN)
Botswana (BWA)
Burkina Faso (BFA)
Burundi (BDI)
Cabo Verde (CPV)
Cameroon (CMR)
Central African Republic (CAF)
Chad (TCD)
Comoros (COM)
Congo (COG)
Côte d'Ivoire (CIV)
Democratic Republic of the Congo (COD)
Djibouti (DJI)
Egypt (EGY)
Equatorial Guinea (GNQ)
Eritrea (ERI)
Ethiopia (ETH)
Gabon (GAB)
Guinea (GIN)
Guinea-Bissau (GNB)
Kenya (KEN)
Lesotho (LSO)
Liberia (LBR)
Libya (LBY)
Madagascar (MDG)
Malawi (MWI)
Mali (MLI)
Mauritania (MRT)
Namibia (NAM)
Niger (NER)
Nigeria (NGA)
Rwanda (RWA)
Sao Tome and Principe (STP)
Senegal (SEN)
Sierra Leone (SLE)
Somalia (SOM)
South Africa (ZAF)
South Sudan (SSD)
Sudan (SDN)
Swaziland (SWZ) (Eswatini)
United Republic of Tanzania (TZA)
Togo (TGO)
Tunisia (TUN)
Uganda (UGA)
United Kingdom (GBR)
Gibraltar
Western Sahara
Zambia (ZMB)
Zimbabwe (ZWE)
View all
Coverage type 
Country
Time period covered 
October, 2017 - October, 2017
Data type
Estimate: Subnationally representative
Summary 

Estimates were produced for three stages underlying the potential of widespread epidemics for four viral hemorrhagic fevers (VHFs) in Africa: Ebola virus disease, Marburg virus disease, Lassa fever, and Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever. Stage 1, index case potential, assesses populations at risk of infection due to spillover from zoonotic hosts or vectors, identifying where index cases could present. Stage 2, outbreak potential, measures potential for secondary spread amongst humans within specific communities. Stage 3, epidemic potential, evaluates possible spread of local outbreaks nationally, regionally, and internationally. Estimates were generated at the second national administrative division (admin 2) level and as indices on a 0-10 scale, with 10 representing the worst outcome. This dataset includes these estimates in shapefiles and CSV files for admin 2 locations across Africa for each pathogen in each stage.

Keywords 
Ebola, Neglected tropical diseases

Citation

Contributors 
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME)
Funders 
Paul G. Allen Family Foundation
Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (BMGF)
Wellcome Trust
Department for International Development (DFiD) (United Kingdom)
Publisher 
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME)
Publication year 
2017
Suggested citation 
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). Africa Viral Hemorrhagic Fever Pandemic Potential Estimates. Seattle, United States of America: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), 2017.

Files (22)

Public files 
FileSize
Package icon Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever: Stage 1, Index case potential - Shapefiles61.09 MB
Package icon Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever: Stage 2, Outbreak potential - Shapefiles61.13 MB
Package icon Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever: Stage 3a, Epidemic potential (local) - Shapefiles61.13 MB
Package icon Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever: Stage 3b, Epidemic potential (global) - Shapefiles61.12 MB
Package icon Ebola virus disease: Stage 1, Index case potential - Shapefiles60.99 MB
Package icon Ebola virus disease: Stage 2, Outbreak potential - Shapefiles61.01 MB
Package icon Ebola virus disease: Stage 3a, Epidemic potential (local) - Shapefiles61.01 MB
Package icon Ebola virus disease: Stage 3b, Epidemic potential (global) - Shapefiles61.01 MB
Package icon Lassa fever: Stage 1, Index case potential - Shapefiles61 MB
Package icon Lassa fever: Stage 2, Outbreak potential - Shapefiles61.02 MB
Package icon Lassa fever: Stage 3a, Epidemic potential (local) - Shapefiles61.02 MB
Package icon Lassa fever: Stage 3b, Epidemic potential (global) - Shapefiles61.02 MB
Package icon Marburg virus disease: 1, Index case potential - Shapefiles61 MB
Package icon Marburg virus disease: Stage 2, Outbreak potential - Shapefiles61.02 MB
Package icon Marburg virus disease: Stage 3a, Epidemic potential (local) - Shapefiles61.02 MB
Package icon Marburg virus disease: Stage 3b, Epidemic potential (global) - Shapefiles61.02 MB
Package icon Outbreak receptivity covariate - Shapefiles61.16 MB
Package icon All pathogens, stages, and outbreak receptivity covariate - CSV files2.48 MB
Package icon Codebooks - CSV files151.5 KB
Package icon Methods and Results Annexes25.7 MB
Package icon Data Release Information Sheet866.57 KB
Package icon Data Input Sources3.11 KB

Source URL: https://ghdx.healthdata.org/record/ihme-data/africa-viral-hemorrhagic-fever-pandemic-potential-estimates